Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 6 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 23

Updated Oct. 23, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the sixth game of the NLCS on Monday at 5:07 PM ET, live on TBS from Citizens Bank Park. The Diamondbacks hope to force a Game 7 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 3-2. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -189 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +160 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +113 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -103 odds to hit the over and -116 odds on the under).

The Phillies are projected to give the nod to Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) versus the Diamondbacks and Merrill Kelly (12-8, 3.29 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Diamondbacks 44%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 72 out of the 119 games, or 60.5%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when favored by -189 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Phillies have a 65.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 48, or 49.5%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 7-5 when favored by +160 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 38.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 5-2 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 47 home runs.
• In all of the majors, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 11th in RBI.
• Schwarber carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with a double, five home runs, five walks and five RBI.
• Trea Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .266.
• Turner is 38th in homers in baseball, and 66th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bryce Harper has a club-leading .293 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Diamondbacks have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .285.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Carroll ranks 46th in homers and 66th in RBI.
• Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Walker ranks 16th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 12th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .261 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

share

in this topic

Major League Baseball

Philadelphia Phillies

Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 10/23/2023

Gambling