Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 6 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 23

Updated Oct. 23, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the sixth game of the NLCS on Monday at 5:07 PM ET, live on TBS from Citizens Bank Park. The Diamondbacks hope to force a Game 7 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 3-2. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -189 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +160 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +113 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -103 odds to hit the over and -116 odds on the under).

The Phillies are projected to give the nod to Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) versus the Diamondbacks and Merrill Kelly (12-8, 3.29 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, October 23, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Diamondbacks 44%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 72 out of the 119 games, or 60.5%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when favored by -189 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Phillies have a 65.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 48, or 49.5%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 7-5 when favored by +160 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 38.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 5-2 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 47 home runs.
• In all of the majors, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 11th in RBI.
• Schwarber carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with a double, five home runs, five walks and five RBI.
• Trea Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .266.
• Turner is 38th in homers in baseball, and 66th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bryce Harper has a club-leading .293 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Diamondbacks have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .285.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Carroll ranks 46th in homers and 66th in RBI.
• Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Walker ranks 16th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 12th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .261 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 10/23/2023