Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 7 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 24

Updated Oct. 24, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

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It all comes down to Game 7 of the NLCS on Tuesday, when the Philadelphia Phillies play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The teams will battle for a spot in the World Series when the game gets underway at 8:07 PM ET on TBS, live from Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -170 moneyline odds against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +144. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -112 odds to go over and -108 odds on the under).

The probable pitchers are Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) for the Phillies against Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 24, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Diamondbacks 44%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 72 out of the 120 games, or 60%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 25-15 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -170 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 63% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 98 games this season and have come away with the win 49 times (50%) in those contests.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 10-10 when favored by +144 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Phillies have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 47 homers on the year. He's also hitting .197 with 104 RBI.
• Including all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks 134th in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage, and 39th in slugging.
• Trea Turner is hitting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
• Turner ranks 38th in home runs and 66th in RBI on the season.
• Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bryce Harper is batting .293 to lead his team.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a .285 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Carroll's home run total is 46th and his RBI tally ranks 66th.
• Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
• Walker is 16th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 12th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .261.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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