Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 2

Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies will look to get to Merrill Kelly when he takes the mound for the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday at 6:45 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -154 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +130 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +136 odds). The total is 9 runs for this contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 2, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and ARID

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 23 times this season and won 13, or 56.5%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered 15 games this season favored by -154 or more and is 12-3 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 60.6% chance to win.
• The Diamondbacks have come away with five wins in the nine contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has played as an underdog of +130 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has accumulated a team-high nine home runs and 23 runs batted in.
• Schwarber's home runs place him fourth in the majors, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
• Bryce Harper has six doubles, five home runs and 24 walks while batting .235.
• Harper ranks 49th in homers and 58th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Harper has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
• Bryson Stott has four doubles, two triples, two home runs and 12 walks while hitting .286.
• Trea Turner is hitting .298 to lead his team.

Phillies Team Props

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Diamondbacks had a record of 3-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Diamondbacks have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll has eight doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 10 walks while hitting .286.
• Carroll's home run total places him fourth in the big leagues, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
• Geraldo Perdomo has driven in the most runs for the Diamondbacks with 25 runs batted in.
• Perdomo is 49th in homers and ninth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Josh Naylor is batting .319 with nine doubles, four home runs and 15 walks.
• Eugenio Suarez has swatted a team-leading 10 long balls.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Nationals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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