Phillies vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET

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Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers take the field on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park against Aaron Nola, who is the named starter for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch will be at 6:05 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -157, while the underdog Dodgers have +132 odds to win. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +125 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Dodgers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday, July 10.

Phillies vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:05 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet LA

Phillies vs. Dodgers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Dodgers 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Dodgers 46%

Phillies vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 51 out of the 75 games, or 68%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 38-11 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -157 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Dodgers have been chosen as underdogs in eight games this year and have walked away with the win two times (25%) in those games.
• Los Angeles has played as an underdog of +132 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 43.1% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

LAD 1 · PHI 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

+1.5

+130

O 9.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-156

U 9.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-2 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm is the Phillies RBI leader this season, driving in 70 runs to go with his 11 home runs and .292 batting average.
• Including all MLB hitters, Bohm is 17th in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Bryce Harper has put his power on display as he leads his team with 20 home runs with a team-best .299 batting average.
• Harper ranks 11th in homers in MLB, and 19th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber is hitting .250 with eight doubles, 18 home runs and 60 walks.
• Schwarber is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 39 walks while hitting .244.
• Stott brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a home run, two walks and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Dodgers have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Dodgers and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Dodgers have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 28 home runs and 66 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .317.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ohtani is second in homers and sixth in RBI.
• Ohtani has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a triple, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Freeman has 25 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 54 walks while batting .295.
• Freeman is 55th overall in home runs and 19th in RBI this season.
• Will Smith has 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .273.
• Teoscar Hernandez has 18 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 29 walks while batting .257.

Dodgers Team Props

Dodgers vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday, July 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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