The Philadelphia Phillies and Bryson Stott head into the final of a three-game series against Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday at Progressive Field. The Guardians are +112 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Phillies (-132). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +122 odds). A 9-run total has been set in this game.
The Phillies will start Aaron Nola (9-6) versus the Guardians and Xzavion Curry (3-0).
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Phillies vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSGL
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -132 | +112 | 9 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 | +122 | -144 |
Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Guardians 47%
Phillies vs. Guardians Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 36, or 58.1%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 25-14, a 64.1% win rate, when favored by -132 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (44.4%) in those contests.
- This year, Cleveland has won nine of 26 games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 47.2% chance of pulling out a win.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies went 3-4 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Phillies have a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Phillies Player Insights
- Stott has put up a team-best batting average of .305.
- Among all hitters in baseball, Stott's home run total ranks him 148th, and his RBI tally ranks him 134th.
- Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .283 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
- Castellanos ranks 65th in homers and 28th in RBI on the year.
- Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies in home runs (26) and runs batted in (60).
- Alec Bohm is hitting .278 with 16 doubles, nine home runs and 23 walks.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+270) | 0.5 (+140) |
| Bryson Stott | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+175) |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 (-278) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+145) |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-120) | 0.5 (+390) | 0.5 (+150) |
| J.T. Realmuto | - | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+130) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 3-3.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Guardians are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez has 25 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .292.
- Among all batters in the big leagues, Ramirez is 65th in homers and 38th in RBI.
- Ramirez takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .476 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
- Naylor's 15 home runs, 76 runs batted in and .315 batting average are all tops in the lineup.
- Naylor is 52nd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and third in RBI.
- Steven Kwan has 25 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 42 walks while batting .268.
- Andres Gimenez is batting .241 with 14 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 20 walks.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 (-256) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+120) |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+170) |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 (+165) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+195) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+135) |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+1100) | 0.5 (+255) |
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