Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Updated Jul. 27, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take the field on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park against Tyler Phillips, who is the named starter for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 6:05 PM ET for the second game of a three-game series. The favored Phillies have -157 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +133. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +126 odds). The game's total has been listed at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights from Friday, July 26.
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Phillies vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 6:05 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -157 +133 9.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +126 -150

Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Guardians 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Guardians 45%

Phillies vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 86 times this season and won 55, or 64%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 39-16, a 70.9% win rate, when favored by -157 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 61.1%.
  • The Guardians have been victorious in 16, or 50%, of the 32 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cleveland has a win-loss record of 6-5 when favored by +133 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 42.9% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
CLE 0 · PHI 8
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have a 3-7 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Phillies have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 5.85
K/9 8.4

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper has left the yard 23 times this season, the highest mark on the Phillies, while hitting .288 with 65 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Harper is ninth in homers and 18th in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm's 71 RBI and .296 batting average both lead his team.
  • Of all major league hitters, Bohm ranks 104th in home runs and eighth in RBI.
  • Bohm heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .316 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has nine doubles, 19 home runs and 70 walks while hitting .240.
  • Schwarber has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .118 with five walks and two RBI.
  • Trea Turner is hitting .333 with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 15 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+130)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+150)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+275) 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Guardians have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 5
ERA 2.43
K/9 8.5

Guardians Player Insights

  • Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (24) and runs batted in (82).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez's home run total ranks eighth and his RBI tally ranks second.
  • Josh Naylor is hitting .238 with 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Naylor ranks 12th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and fifth in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has a team-high batting average of .340.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .248 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
David Fry 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+145)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-215) 1.5 () 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+220)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+130)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+235)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+130)

Guardians vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights from Friday, July 26.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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