Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies face Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET. The favored Phillies have -128 moneyline odds against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +108. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been listed at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights from Friday, July 26.

Phillies vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Guardians 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 60%, Guardians 40%

Phillies vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 56 out of the 87 games, or 64.4%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 50-27, a 64.9% win rate, when favored by -128 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (48.5%) in those games.
• This year, Cleveland has won nine of 23 games when listed as at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 48.1% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

CLE 4 · PHI 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+108

O 9

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-128

U 9

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 4-6 over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Harper has launched a team-best 24 homers.
• Harper's home runs place him eighth in the majors, and he is 16th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm has a club-leading 71 RBI and .297 batting average.
• Bohm is 105th in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Bohm carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with three doubles and three walks.
• Kyle Schwarber is hitting .245 with 11 doubles, 20 home runs and 70 walks.
• Schwarber is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• Trea Turner has 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks while batting .332.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
• The Guardians are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 24 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 82.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez ranks eighth in homers and second in RBI.
• Naylor is batting .238 with 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 38 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Naylor ranks 13th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Steven Kwan has racked up a team-best batting average of .340.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .249 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Guardians vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights from Friday, July 26.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 07/28/2024

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