Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies face Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET. The favored Phillies have -128 moneyline odds against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +108. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been listed at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights from Friday, July 26.
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Phillies vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -128 +108 9 -119 -101 -1.5 +152 -182

Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Guardians 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 60%, Guardians 40%

Phillies vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 56 out of the 87 games, or 64.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 50-27, a 64.9% win rate, when favored by -128 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (48.5%) in those games.
  • This year, Cleveland has won nine of 23 games when listed as at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 48.1% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
CLE 4 · PHI 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 4-6 over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 16
ERA 5.22
K/9 7.9

Phillies Player Insights

  • Harper has launched a team-best 24 homers.
  • Harper's home runs place him eighth in the majors, and he is 16th in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm has a club-leading 71 RBI and .297 batting average.
  • Bohm is 105th in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Bohm carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with three doubles and three walks.
  • Kyle Schwarber is hitting .245 with 11 doubles, 20 home runs and 70 walks.
  • Schwarber is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
  • Trea Turner has 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks while batting .332.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Bohm 0.5 () 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+130)
Austin Hays 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+185)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-180) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+275) 0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
  • The Guardians are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.0
HR 3
ERA 3.17
K/9 9.1

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 24 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 82.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez ranks eighth in homers and second in RBI.
  • Naylor is batting .238 with 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Naylor ranks 13th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has racked up a team-best batting average of .340.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .249 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jhonkensy Noel 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+160)
David Fry 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+210)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+145)
José Ramírez 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+130)

Guardians vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights from Friday, July 26.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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