Phillies vs. Marlins NL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4

Updated Oct. 4, 2023 8:09 p.m. ET

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The NL Wild Card Series rolls on Wednesday at 8:08 PM ET when the Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins live on ESPN from Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies will look to move on to the NLDS while the Marlins hope to extend the series with a win. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -156, while the underdog Marlins have +132 odds to upset. Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 8 runs for this game.

The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola (12-9) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Braxton Garrett (9-7) for the Miami Marlins.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 8:08 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Marlins 44%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 112 times and won 67, or 59.8%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 31-19, a 62% win rate, when favored by -156 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 60.9% chance to win.
• The Marlins have come away with 40 wins in the 87 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 12-20 when favored by +132 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 43.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 6-2 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has left the yard 47 times this season, the highest mark on the Phillies, while hitting .197 with 104 RBI.
• Schwarber is second in homers and 11th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Trea Turner is batting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
• Turner ranks 38th in homers and 67th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Turner carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with four doubles and a walk.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bohm will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
• Bryce Harper has a club-best .293 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Marlins had a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Luis Arraez paces the Marlins with a .354 batting average.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Arraez ranks 219th in home runs and 90th in RBI.
• Arraez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with .
• Jorge Soler's 36 home runs pace his team.
• Soler ranks 12th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 70th in RBI.
• Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 80 runs batted in.
• Josh Bell has 28 doubles, 22 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .247.

Marlins Team Props

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