Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 14

Updated Aug. 14, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Kyle Schwarber will take on the Miami Marlins and Jake Burger on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET in the final game of a two-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are -169 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Marlins (+142). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +120 odds). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, August 13.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 14, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 59%, Marlins 41%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 95 times this season and won 57, or 60%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 31-15, a 67.4% win rate, when favored by -169 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 62.8% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 104 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (39.4%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 19 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

MIA 5 · PHI 9

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+142

O 8.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-170

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 1-3 over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Phillies have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm comes into Wednesday's game as the Phillies top run producer, delivering 80 RBI while launching 12 home runs in 2024. His .295 average is also best on the squad.
• Including all MLB hitters, Bohm ranks 14th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging.
• Bryce Harper has 25 doubles, 26 home runs and 59 walks while hitting .279.
• Among all MLB hitters, Harper ranks 11th in homers and 20th in RBI.
• Schwarber has launched a team-best 27 homers.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 25 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .246.
• Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .267 with two doubles and two walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 5-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger leads the lineup with a batting average of .251, while leading the Marlins in home runs, with 23 and runs batted in with 54.
• Burger is 21st in homers and 71st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Burger has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .341 with a double, seven home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez has 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .240.
• Sanchez ranks 84th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 101st in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .359 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 21 walks.
• Otto Lopez is batting .234 with nine doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, August 13.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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