Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 2

Updated Aug. 2, 2023 6:09 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies take on Jon Berti and the Miami Marlins on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET in the third game of a four-game series. The Phillies have been listed as -122 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Marlins (+102). Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for the game has been set at 7.5 runs.

The Phillies will give the ball to Zack Wheeler (8-5) versus the Marlins and Braxton Garrett (5-3).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-122	+102	7.5	-101	-119	-1.5	+142	-170

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Marlins 48%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have been favored 69 times and won 40, or 58%, of those games.
Philadelphia has a record of 32-20 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -122 on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 55% chance to win.
The Marlins have won in 23, or 44.2%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Miami has won 15 of 40 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies went 4-4 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	5
ERA	2.83
K/9	8.5

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Phillies Player Insights

Schwarber has hit a team-high 27 home runs.
Schwarber is sixth in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Bryson Stott's .299 batting average leads his team.
Stott is 159th in homers in MLB, and 137th in RBI.
Alec Bohm has a team-high 66 runs batted in.
Bohm will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, a home run, five walks and four RBI.
Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .273 with 26 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .143 with a home run and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Bryce Harper	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)
Bryson Stott	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+220)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)
Alec Bohm	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Marlins have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.2
HR	5
ERA	3.90
K/9	9.7

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .381.
Among all batters in MLB, Arraez's home run total ranks 306th and his RBI tally is 71st.
Jorge Soler has put his power on display as he paces his team with 25 home runs.
Among all major league hitters, Soler ranks ninth in homers and 56th in RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has collected a team-high 58 runs batted in.
Berti is hitting .293 with 12 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 17 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (+100)	-	0.5 (+260)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+235)
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)
Jesús Sánchez	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+280)
Nick Fortes	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+280)

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