Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Updated Aug. 3, 2023 12:10 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to defeat Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot park on Thursday at 12:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +105 moneyline odds. Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup.

The starting pitchers are Michael Lorenzen (5-7) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Johnny Cueto (0-2) for the Miami Marlins.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 12:10 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-125	+105	8.5	-119	-101	-1.5	+134	-159

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Phillies 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Marlins 49%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 40, or 57.1%, of those games.
Philadelphia has entered 49 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 31-18 in those contests.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
The Marlins have come away with 24 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Miami has won 15 of 37 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 4-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	6
ERA	3.23
K/9	8

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Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott leads the Phillies with a team-best batting average of .303.
Of all hitters in baseball, Stott's home run total places him 164th, and his RBI tally ranks him 133rd.
Bohm has put up 69 runs batted in to lead his team.
Among all major league hitters, Bohm is 148th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
Bohm carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .476 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and seven RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has launched a team-high 27 home runs.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .274 with 26 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
Castellanos takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .167 with a home run and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+155)
Brandon Marsh	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Kyle Schwarber	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+260)	0.5 (+145)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+145)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 2-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Marlins have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4
HR	8
ERA	3.77
K/9	9.4

Marlins Player Insights

Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .378.
Among all batters in MLB, Arraez is 309th in home runs and 72nd in RBI.
Arraez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a double and a walk.
Jorge Soler has shown his power as he leads his team with 26 home runs.
Soler ranks eighth among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 54th in RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has racked up a team-high 58 runs batted in.
Josh Bell is hitting .241 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 44 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jorge Soler	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+195)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+240)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)
Jake Burger	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)
Joey Wendle	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+255)

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