Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to defeat Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot park on Thursday at 12:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +105 moneyline odds. Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup.
The starting pitchers are Michael Lorenzen (5-7) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Johnny Cueto (0-2) for the Miami Marlins.
Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 12:10 PM ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -125 | +105 | 8.5 | -119 | -101 | -1.5 | +134 | -159 |
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Phillies 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Marlins 49%
Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 70 times this season and won 40, or 57.1%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has entered 49 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 31-18 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- The Marlins have come away with 24 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Miami has won 15 of 37 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 4-4 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.23 |
| K/9 | 8 |
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Phillies Player Insights
- Bryson Stott leads the Phillies with a team-best batting average of .303.
- Of all hitters in baseball, Stott's home run total places him 164th, and his RBI tally ranks him 133rd.
- Bohm has put up 69 runs batted in to lead his team.
- Among all major league hitters, Bohm is 148th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
- Bohm carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .476 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and seven RBI.
- Kyle Schwarber has launched a team-high 27 home runs.
- Nicholas Castellanos is batting .274 with 26 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
- Castellanos takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .167 with a home run and three RBI.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+155) |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+170) |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+260) | 0.5 (+145) |
| Nicholas Castellanos | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+145) |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (-110) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+150) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 2-1.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Marlins have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .378.
- Among all batters in MLB, Arraez is 309th in home runs and 72nd in RBI.
- Arraez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a double and a walk.
- Jorge Soler has shown his power as he leads his team with 26 home runs.
- Soler ranks eighth among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 54th in RBI.
- Bryan De La Cruz has racked up a team-high 58 runs batted in.
- Josh Bell is hitting .241 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 44 walks.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+195) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+1200) | 0.5 (+240) |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 (-256) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+195) |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 (-179) | 0.5 (-179) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (+1200) | 0.5 (+255) |
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