Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Updated Jun. 28, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Kyle Tyler will take the mound for the Miami Marlins aiming to slow down Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at 6:20 PM ET. The favored Phillies have -216 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +180. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at -108 odds). The total is 8 runs for the matchup (with -111 odds to go over and -109 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 6:20 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 62%, Marlins 38%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 46, or 67.6%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered 11 games this season favored by -216 or more and is 10-1 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 68.4% chance to win.
• The Marlins have won in 26, or 38.8%, of the 67 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a mark of 3-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +180 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 35.7% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

MIA 0 · PHI 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+184

O 8

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-227

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 6-4 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Phillies have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bohm is the Phillies RBI leader this season, knocking in 65 runs to go with his nine home runs and .301 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Bohm ranks 85th in home runs and third in RBI.
• Bryson Stott is batting .242 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 35 walks.
• Of all MLB hitters, Stott ranks 192nd in homers and 73rd in RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .222 with 12 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.
• Trea Turner is batting .333 with 13 doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.
• Turner is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .273 with three doubles and two walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 6-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .260.
• Chisholm's home run total places him 66th in MLB, and he is 68th in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit 14 home runs with 39 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• De La Cruz is 25th overall in home runs and 59th in RBI this season.
• Josh Bell has 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks while batting .243.
• Jesus Sanchez has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .236.

Marlins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 06/28/2024

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