Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Taijuan Walker starts for the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday against Bryan De La Cruz and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET at LoanDepot park. The favored Phillies have -129 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +109. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The game's over/under is listed at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Marlins 44%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 22, or 71%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 27 games this season favored by -129 or more and is 18-9 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (26.9%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has been victorious six times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 8 · MIA 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-129

O 8

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+109

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
• The Phillies have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm has driven in a team-best 32 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in baseball, Bohm is 88th in home runs and fourth in RBI.
• Bohm takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two doubles and an RBI.
• Bryce Harper has hit nine home runs to lead his team.
• Harper is eighth in homers and eighth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-high nine home runs.
• Bryson Stott is batting .250 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs and 16 walks.
• Stott has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, five walks and five RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 1-6 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• De La Cruz leads the Marlins with eight home runs and 21 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .270.
• Among all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz's home run total is 20th and his RBI tally ranks 45th.
• De La Cruz brings a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .324 with three doubles, three home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm has seven doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks while batting .238.
• Chisholm is 60th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Josh Bell is batting .204 with four doubles, four home runs and 15 walks.
• Nick Gordon is hitting .198 with three doubles, five home runs and four walks.

Marlins Team Props

Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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