Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 12

Updated May. 12, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The Miami Marlins and Bryan De La Cruz take the field in the final game of a three-game series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies, on Sunday at LoanDepot park. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -205, while the underdog Marlins have +170 odds to win. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7-run over/under has been set for the contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 63%, Marlins 37%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 32 times and won 23, or 71.9%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered six games this season favored by -205 or more, and won each of those games.
• The Phillies have a 67.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have been victorious in seven, or 25.9%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Miami has won two of nine games when listed as at least +170 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 37% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL (10)

PHI 6 · MIA 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-206

O 7

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+171

U 7

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have an 8-1 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Phillies have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm comes into Sunday's game as the Phillies top run producer, collecting 32 RBI while crushing four round-trippers in 2024. His .343 average is also best on the squad.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Bohm ranks 91st in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Bohm carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with two doubles.
• Harper's nine home runs are a team-high mark.
• Harper ranks ninth in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bryson Stott is batting .257 with four doubles, two triples, three home runs and 16 walks.
• Stott is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with two doubles, a triple, three walks and seven RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit nine home runs to lead his team.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 1-7.
• The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• De La Cruz paces the Marlins with eight home runs and 21 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .270.
• Among all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz's home run total is 24th and his RBI tally ranks 46th.
• De La Cruz takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .297 with two doubles, three home runs, five walks and six RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm has seven doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .243.
• Chisholm ranks 63rd in home runs and 57th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Josh Bell is batting .200 with four doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
• Nick Gordon is hitting .221 with three doubles, five home runs and four walks.

Marlins Team Props

Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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