Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Updated Sep. 10, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and Bryan De La Cruz will be among the stars on display when the Philadelphia Phillies face the Miami Marlins on Sunday at 1:05 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -169 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +143. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +116 odds). A 9.5-run over/under is set for the game.

The starting pitchers are Ranger Suarez (2-6) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Steven Okert (3-1) for the Miami Marlins.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 1:05 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -169 +143 9.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +116 -138

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Marlins 44%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 99 times this season and won 58, or 58.6%, of those games.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 22 of its 35 games, or 62.9%, when favored by at least -169 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • The Marlins have won in 32, or 43.2%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 9-14 when favored by +143 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 41.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 4-4 across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Phillies' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 21
ERA 5.07
K/9 9.9

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Phillies Player Insights

  • Schwarber has a team-best 42 home runs and 93 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Schwarber's home run total places him fourth, and his RBI tally ranks him 10th.
  • Schwarber carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .353 with three home runs, seven walks and five RBI.
  • Trea Turner is batting .263 with 30 doubles, five triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Turner ranks 43rd in home runs and 70th in RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is hitting .292 with 29 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .275 with 28 doubles, 16 home runs and 38 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+190)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+160)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 3-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 18
ERA 3.82
K/9 7.6

Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a .349 batting average.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Arraez is 278th in home runs and 88th in RBI.
  • De La Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Marlins with 72 runs batted in.
  • De La Cruz is currently 91st in homers and 51st in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Jake Burger is hitting .242 with 24 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .245 with 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 55 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jake Burger 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+165)
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Josh Bell 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Yuli Gurriel 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+225)
Jon Berti 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+295)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Phillies vs Marlins!

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