Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The Philadelphia Phillies versus Miami Marlins game on Thursday at 6:40 p.m. ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in J.T. Realmuto and Jake Burger. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -235 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +192 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's total is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Marlins 46%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 68, or 62.4%, of the 109 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 11-4, a 73.3% win rate, when favored by -235 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 70.1% chance to win.
• The Marlins have won in 48, or 39.3%, of the 122 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 7-11 when favored by +192 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 34.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 5 · MIA 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-240

O 8

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+196

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm has racked up a team-high 89 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Bohm's home run total places him 133rd, and his RBI tally puts him 14th.
• Bryce Harper has 34 doubles, 26 home runs and 66 walks while batting .282.
• Harper ranks 22nd in home runs and 36th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 32 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
• Schwarber is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, four home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 27 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 34 walks while batting .248.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 6-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 3-5-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger leads the Marlins with 25 home runs and 60 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .247.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Burger is 23rd in home runs and 81st in RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .245 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 29 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Sanchez ranks 89th in homers and 95th in RBI.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .245 with 16 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 19 walks.
• Xavier Edwards has eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 26 walks while hitting .341.

Marlins Team Props

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Miami Marlins

Philadelphia Phillies

share

in this topic

Major League Baseball

Miami Marlins

Philadelphia Phillies

MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - 09/05/2024

Gambling