Data Skrive
Austin Kitchen gets the nod on the mound for the Miami Marlins against the Philadelphia Phillies and J.T. Realmuto on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -281 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Marlins (+226). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with +100 odds to go over and -120 odds on the under).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
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Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, September 6, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -281 | +226 | 7.5 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 | -153 | +129 |
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Marlins 42%
Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 69, or 62.7%, of the 110 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia has played as favorites of -281 or more twice this season and split those games.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 73.8%.
- The Marlins have been victorious in 48, or 39%, of the 123 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Miami has been victorious one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +226 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 30.7% chance of walking away with the win.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they went 7-1 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.39 |
| K/9 | 9 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Bryce Harper has been stellar at finding his way aboard for the Phillies this season, leading the team with a .371 OBP and 132 base hits.
- Including all MLB batters, Harper ranks 20th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
- Kyle Schwarber has shown off his power as he leads his team with 32 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
- Of all MLB hitters, Schwarber ranks ninth in homers and 14th in RBI.
- Schwarber carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .409 with two doubles, four home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
- Nicholas Castellanos is batting .246 with 27 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 35 walks.
- Trea Turner is hitting .296 to lead his team.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Nicholas Castellanos | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 5-4 in those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
- Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 5-5-0 against the spread.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Jake Burger leads the squad with a batting average of .247, while leading the Marlins in home runs, with 25 and runs batted in with 60.
- Burger's home run total puts him 23rd in the majors, and he is 81st in RBI.
- Burger has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two doubles and an RBI.
- Jesus Sanchez is batting .246 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 29 walks.
- Among all major league hitters, Sanchez ranks 90th in home runs and 87th in RBI.
- Otto Lopez has 16 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 19 walks while hitting .241.
- Xavier Edwards has eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 26 walks while hitting .333.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+340) |
| Jhonny Pereda | 0.5 (-140) | 0.5 (-140) | - | 0.5 (+400) |
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 (-200) | 0.5 (-200) | - | 0.5 (+245) |
| Cristian Pache | 0.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+150) | - | 0.5 (+500) |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-175) | - | 0.5 (+210) |
Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the top plays between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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