Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 7

Updated Sep. 7, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to defeat Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot park on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -256 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Marlins (+208). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Trea Turner crushes a two-run homer, extending Phillies' lead over Marlins

Trea Turner crushed a two-run homer to extend the Philadelphia Phillies' lead over the Miami Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Marlins 46%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 111 times this season and won 70, or 63.1%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -256 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 71.9% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Marlins have won in 48, or 38.7%, of the 124 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Miami has been victorious five times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +208 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 32.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 5 · MIA 9

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-265

O 8

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+213

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 7-1 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber paces the Phillies with 33 home runs and 92 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Schwarber's home run total ranks him ninth, and his RBI tally ranks him 13th.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .458 with two doubles, five home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .284 with 35 doubles, 26 home runs and 67 walks.
• Harper ranks 22nd in home runs and 31st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .246 with 27 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 35 walks.
• Trea Turner has a club-best .300 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 5-4 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger paces the Marlins with 25 home runs and 60 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .246.
• Among all batters in the majors, Burger's home run total ranks 23rd and his RBI tally is 82nd.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .245 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 29 walks.
• Sanchez ranks 90th overall in home runs and 89th in RBI this season.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .248 with 17 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 19 walks.
• Xavier Edwards has eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 26 walks while batting .326.

Marlins Team Props

Trea Turner crushes a two-run homer, extending Phillies' lead over Marlins

Trea Turner crushed a two-run homer to extend the Philadelphia Phillies' lead over the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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