Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Updated Sep. 9, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Trea Turner ready for the second of a three-game series against Bryan De La Cruz and the Miami Marlins on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are -192 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Marlins (+161). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +107 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 9 runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies will give the start to Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.55 ERA), who is looking for win No. 13 on the season, and the Marlins will counter with Johnny Cueto (1-3, 5.54 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Marlins 45%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 98 times this season and won 57, or 58.2%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 15-7, a 68.2% win rate, when favored by -192 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 65.8% chance to win.
• The Marlins have won in 32, or 43.8%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 3-6 when favored by +161 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 38.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Place your bets on Phillies vs. Marlins now with FOX Bet!

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has racked up a team-best 41 home runs and 90 runs batted in.
• Among all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks 138th in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 42nd in slugging.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with two home runs, nine walks and two RBI.
• Turner is hitting .264 with 30 doubles, five triples, 23 home runs and 39 walks.
• Turner is 41st in homers and 66th in RBI in the bigs.
• Turner has 16 straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .429 with two doubles, a triple, eight home runs, two walks and 19 RBI.
• Bryson Stott paces the Phillies with a .294 batting average.
• Stott will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two doubles and two walks.
• Alec Bohm is batting .278 with 28 doubles, 16 home runs and 38 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .350.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Arraez is 277th in homers and 85th in RBI.
• De La Cruz has collected 72 runs batted in to pace his team.
• De La Cruz is 88th in homers and 49th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Josh Bell has 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .245.
• Jake Burger has 23 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 28 walks while batting .241.

Marlins Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Phillies vs Marlins!

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