Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 6

Updated Oct. 6, 2024 4:01 p.m. ET

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The NLDS rolls on Sunday at 4:08 p.m. ET when the Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets live on Fox Sports 1 from Citizens Bank Park. The Mets will look to move one step closer to the NLCS while the Phillies hope to even up the series with a win. The Phillies have been listed as -144 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Mets (+121). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest is set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brandon Nimmo on Mets' 6-2 win over Phillies in Game 1 of the NLDS | MLB on FOX

Tom Verducci caught up with Brandon Nimmo after his 2-RBI night in the New York Mets' 6-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of the NLDS.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 4:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Mets 48%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 130 games this season and won 80 (61.5%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has entered 86 games this season favored by -144 or more and is 57-29 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Mets have won in 31, or 46.3%, of the 67 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• New York has a mark of 13-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 6 · PHI 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+125

O 8.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-148

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-5 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Phillies have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper is outstanding at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .373 OBP, .525 slugging percentage, and 157 base hits.
• In all of MLB, Harper ranks 20th in homers and 31st in RBI.
• Harper brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber's 38 home runs and 104 runs batted in both pace his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Schwarber ranks eighth in homers and 10th in RBI.
• Schwarber heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mets had a record of 4-3.
• The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has put up a team-high batting average of .273 and paces the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 91.
• Among all batters in MLB, Lindor ranks 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has launched a team-best 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in homers and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

Brandon Nimmo on Mets' 6-2 win over Phillies in Game 1 of the NLDS | MLB on FOX

Tom Verducci caught up with Brandon Nimmo after his 2-RBI night in the New York Mets' 6-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of the NLDS.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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