Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 6

Updated Oct. 6, 2024 12:01 a.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies will host the New York Mets in the second game of the NLDS on Sunday at 4:08 p.m. ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies will look to bounce back after falling behind in the series in Game 1. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -156 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets +131 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under is set in this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 4:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 80, or 61.5%, of the 130 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 56-23 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -156 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 60.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have been victorious in 31, or 46.3%, of the 67 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• New York has a win-loss record of 8-7 when favored by +131 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Sun 8:08 PM

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+131

O 7.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-156

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-5 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper gets on base at a .373 clip while slugging .525, both marks that lead the Phillies. He also has the team high in base knocks with 157.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Harper is 20th in home runs and 31st in RBI.
• Harper has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber's 38 home runs and 104 runs batted in are both team-highs.
• Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Schwarber carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has recorded a team-best batting average of .273 and leads the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 91.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Lindor is 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 34 home runs pace his team.
• Alonso is currently 12th in homers and 29th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .224.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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