Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8

Updated Oct. 7, 2024 1:01 a.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies will visit the New York Mets in the third game of the NLDS on Tuesday at 5:08 p.m. ET, live on FOX from Citi Field. The teams split the first two games of the series and would move within a win of the NLCS with a victory in this matchup. The favored Phillies have -114 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at -106. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +158 odds). A 7.5-run over/under has been set in this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 8, 2024 at 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Mets 46%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 131 times and won 81, or 61.8%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 78-48 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Mets have won in 31, or 45.6%, of the 68 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, New York has won 28 of 61 games when listed as at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Tue 9:08 PM

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-114

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-106

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-5 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.
• The Phillies have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper gets on base at a .373 clip while slugging .525, both marks that lead the Phillies. He also has the team high in base knocks with 157.
• Harper's home runs place him 20th in MLB, and he ranks 31st in RBI.
• Harper has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, six walks and two RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 38 home runs with 104 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Schwarber is eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
• Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 4-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Mets have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has a team-leading batting average of .273 and leads the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 91.
• In all of the majors, Lindor is 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has launched a team-high 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in homers and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while batting .224.
• Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .253.

Mets Team Props

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Bryce Harper & Nick Castellanos spoke on the Philadelphia Phillies clutch 7-6 win over the New York Mets in Game 2 of the NLDS.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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