Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8

Updated Oct. 8, 2024 5:01 p.m. ET

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The NLDS resumes Tuesday at 5:08 p.m. ET when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the New York Mets live on Fox Sports 1 from Citi Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to break the 1-1 tie in the series following the first two games. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -111 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets -108 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been listed at 7 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 8, 2024 at 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 131 games this season and won 81 (61.8%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 80-50, a 61.5% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Phillies have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (45.6%) in those contests.
• This season, New York has been victorious 29 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PHI 2 · NYM 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-112

O 7

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-108

U 7

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total eight times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• The Phillies' best power option comes in the form of Kyle Schwarber and his 38-dinger 104-RBI season, both team highs.
• Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Bryce Harper has 42 doubles, 30 home runs and 76 walks while hitting .285.
• Harper is 20th in home runs and 31st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Harper carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, six walks and two RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
• Castellanos is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• The Mets are led in runs batted in by Francisco Lindor with a mark of 91, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .273.
• Lindor is 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Pete Alonso has launched a team-high 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in homers and 29th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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