Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Updated Oct. 9, 2024 2:00 a.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies will visit the New York Mets in the fourth game of the NLDS on Wednesday at 5:08 p.m. ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Citi Field. The Phillies hope to force a Game 5 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -118, while the underdog Mets have -102 odds to win. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -102 odds to hit the over and -118 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the postgame interviews following the Game 3 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets featuring Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more!

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Mets 46%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 81 out of the 132 games, or 61.4%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has entered 122 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 76-46 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 69 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (46.4%) in those games.
• This season, New York has come away with a win 27 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Wed 9:08 PM

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-117

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-102

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-6 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in OBP, slugging, and hits, reaching base at a rate of .373 while slugging .525 and racking up 157 base hits.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Harper's home run total places him 20th, and his RBI tally puts him 31st.
• Harper takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 38 home runs with 104 RBI. Both lead his team.
• Schwarber is eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI on the season.
• Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Trea Turner has a club-high .295 batting average.
• Turner is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Mets had a record of 5-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• The Mets are led in runs batted in by Francisco Lindor with a mark of 91, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .273.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Lindor ranks 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has a team-high 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .224.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

Phillies vs. Mets Game 3: Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more Postgame Interviews | MLB on FOX

Check out the postgame interviews following the Game 3 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets featuring Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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