Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 13

Updated Sep. 13, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets and Francisco Lindor take the field at Citizens Bank Park against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday. The Phillies have been listed as -157 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Mets (+133). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The game's total is set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nick Castellanos crushes a two-run homer to give the Phillies a 2-0 lead over the Rays.

Nick Castellanos crushed a two-run homer that gave the Philadelphia Phillies a 2-0 lead against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 13, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Mets 46%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 73, or 62.9%, of the 116 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 71 games this season favored by -157 or more and is 52-19 in those contests.
• The Phillies have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have come away with 25 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has a win-loss record of 6-5 when favored by +133 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 42.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

NYM 11 · PHI 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+133

O 8.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-159

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 7-2 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies in home runs (35) and runs batted in (95).
• Schwarber ranks eighth in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .385 with three doubles, seven home runs, five walks and 13 RBI.
• Harper is batting .288 with 39 doubles, 26 home runs and 68 walks.
• Harper ranks 24th in home runs and 36th in RBI on the year.
• Trea Turner has put up a team-best batting average of .298.
• Turner is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two home runs and four RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 27 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 38 walks while batting .245.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Mets have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor leads the squad with a batting average of .268, and leads the Mets in home runs, with 31 and runs batted in with 85.
• Among all batters in the majors, Lindor ranks 11th in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 31 home runs pace his team.
• Alonso ranks 11th in homers and 33rd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .226 with 24 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 74 walks.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .263 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 59 walks.

Mets Team Props

Nick Castellanos crushes a two-run homer to give the Phillies a 2-0 lead over the Rays.

Nick Castellanos crushed a two-run homer that gave the Philadelphia Phillies a 2-0 lead against the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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