Data Skrive
Francisco Alvarez and the New York Mets hit the field against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -118, while the underdog Mets have -102 odds to upset. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is set at 9 runs.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the top moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.
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Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SNY
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -118 | -102 | 9 | -100 | -123 | -1.5 | -192 | +160 |
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%
Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 73, or 62.4%, of the 117 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia has a record of 68-42 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (46.4%) in those games.
- This season, New York has come away with a win 22 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies went 6-3 over the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Phillies are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.01 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies in home runs (35) and runs batted in (95).
- Of all hitters in baseball, Schwarber is eighth in homers and 12th in RBI.
- Schwarber brings a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .410 with three doubles, seven home runs, five walks and 13 RBI.
- Harper is hitting .289 with 40 doubles, 26 home runs and 69 walks.
- Harper is 25th in home runs in MLB, and 36th in RBI.
- Trea Turner leads the Phillies with a .296 batting average.
- Nicholas Castellanos has 27 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 38 walks while batting .243.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Nicholas Castellanos | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 (-160) | 0.5 (-160) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
- The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Mets have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.50 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Mets Player Insights
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a team-high batting average of .270 and leads the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 86.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Lindor's home run total is 12th and his RBI tally ranks 20th.
- Lindor carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
- Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he leads his team with 32 home runs.
- Alonso is 11th in homers and 31st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
- Brandon Nimmo is hitting .226 with 24 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 75 walks.
- Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 walks while batting .263.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (-115) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| J.D. Martínez | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the top moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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