Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Updated Sep. 15, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to beat David Peterson, the New York Mets' named starter, on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET. The Mets are +116 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Phillies (-136). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +153 odds). The matchup's total is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.
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Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: WPIX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -136 +116 8 -112 -108 -1.5 +153 -185

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 118 times and won 74, or 62.7%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 60-33 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 57.6% chance to win.
  • The Mets have won in 26, or 45.6%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, New York has been victorious 14 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
NYM 1 · PHI 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 7-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Phillies have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 14
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.2

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper is outstanding at finding his way aboard when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .377 OBP and 146 hits.
  • Harper ranks 20th in homers and 31st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Harper has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .421 with four doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he leads his team with 35 home runs and 95 runs batted in.
  • Schwarber is eighth in homers and 14th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Trea Turner leads the Phillies with a .294 batting average.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .243 with 27 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 38 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+165)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+140)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+155)
Nicholas Castellanos 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Mets have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 13
ERA 3.03
K/9 10.4

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with 86 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .270.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Lindor's home run total is 13th and his RBI tally ranks 23rd.
  • Lindor carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he leads his team with 32 home runs.
  • Alonso ranks 11th overall in home runs and 34th in RBI this season.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .226 with 24 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 75 walks.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .262 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+160)
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+175)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+180)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
José Iglesias 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+205)

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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