Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 19, 2024 10:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will square off against Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET, in the first game of a four-game series. The Phillies have been listed as -111 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Mets (-109). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +150 odds). The game's total has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brandon Nimmo crushes a two-run homer, giving Mets lead over Phillies

Brandon Nimmo crushed a two-run homer to give the New York Mets the lead over the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-111	-109	7.5	+103	-123	-1.5	+150	-182

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have been favored 121 times and won 76, or 62.8%, of those games.
Philadelphia has a record of 75-45, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The Phillies have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Mets have won in 26, or 44.8%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
New York has a mark of 25-31 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 52.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

New York Mets

NYM

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 6-3 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Phillies have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	12
ERA	4.34
K/9	8

Phillies Player Insights

Bryce Harper is stellar at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .374 OBP, .533 slugging percentage, and 149 base hits.
Harper's home runs put him 21st in MLB, and he is 32nd in RBI.
Schwarber's 35 home runs and 97 RBI are both team-highs.
Schwarber ranks eighth in homers and 13th in RBI in the majors.
Schwarber carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two walks and two RBI.
Alec Bohm is batting .288 with 44 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 39 walks.
Trea Turner is batting .299 to pace his team.
Turner is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a walk and an RBI.

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Mets have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5
HR	12
ERA	2.45
K/9	8.9

Mets Player Insights

The Mets are led in runs batted in by Lindor with a mark of 86, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .271.
Lindor ranks 15th in homers and 26th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Lindor brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
Pete Alonso has hit 33 home runs with 86 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
Alonso is currently 11th in home runs and 26th in RBI in the big leagues.
Brandon Nimmo is batting .227 with 24 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 77 walks.
Jesse Winker is batting .260 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 61 walks.