Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets take the field on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. Nicholas Castellanos and Brandon Nimmo have been on a tear in recent games for their respective clubs. The Phillies are -164 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Mets (+139). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for this game.

The starting pitchers are Taijuan Walker (15-5) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Tylor Megill (8-8) for the New York Mets.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-164	+139	9	-106	-114	-1.5	+125	-148

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Mets 45%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have been favored 104 times and won 61, or 58.7%, of those games.
Philadelphia has a record of 24-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -164 on the moneyline.
The Phillies have a 62.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Mets have come away with 21 wins in the 64 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, New York has come away with a win two times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 41.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-1 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
The Phillies have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	18
ERA	4.30
K/9	8.2

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 45 home runs.
Schwarber ranks second in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Trea Turner has 32 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 44 walks while batting .266.
Turner is 34th in home runs and 60th in RBI on the season.
Alec Bohm has 30 doubles, 18 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .278.
Bohm has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
Bryson Stott is batting .282 with 31 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Mets have won nine of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	13
ERA	2.76
K/9	8.6

Mets Player Insights

Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 45 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 114.
Alonso is second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Francisco Lindor has 33 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 61 walks while hitting .251.
Lindor is 34th in homers and 34th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Nimmo leads the Mets' lineup with a .272 batting average.
Jeff McNeil has 25 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .271.