Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Nicholas Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies will see Jose Butto at the rubber for the New York Mets in the final game of a four-game series, Sunday at 6:05 PM ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -180, while the underdog Mets have +151 odds to upset. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game is set at 9 runs.

The Phillies will give the ball to Cristopher Sanchez (2-5) against the Mets and Butto (1-2).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

ADVERTISEMENT
  • When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -180 +151 9 -101 -119 -1.5 +115 -137

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Mets 45%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 106 times and won 63, or 59.4%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia is 21-11 this season when entering a game favored by -180 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 64.3% chance to win.
  • The Mets have won in 21, or 31.8%, of the 66 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 1-11 when favored by +151 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 39.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they went 5-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 16
ERA 3.90
K/9 8.3

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-best 45 home runs.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 11th in RBI.
  • Schwarber brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
  • Trea Turner has 32 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while batting .263.
  • Turner is 35th in home runs in baseball, and 61st in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .281 with 31 doubles, 19 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Bohm will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is hitting .281 with 31 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mets had a record of 2-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-3-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 11
ERA 3.41
K/9 9.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .251 with 33 doubles, two triples, 27 home runs and 61 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .330.
  • Lindor's home run total places him 31st in MLB, and he is 34th in RBI.
  • Lindor brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .237 with a home run, five walks and three RBI.
  • Pete Alonso been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 45 home runs and 115 RBI.
  • Alonso ranks second among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and second in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 29 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 73 walks while hitting .271.
  • Jeff McNeil leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .272.
share