Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 10

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 10

Updated Aug. 10, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies will play Joey Meneses and the Washington Nationals on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies are -251 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Nationals (+208). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 9-run over/under is listed for the contest.

The Philadelphia Phillies will hand the ball to Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.58 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with Patrick Corbin (7-11, 5.10 ERA).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -251 +208 9 -109 -110 -1.5 -126 +106

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Nationals 44%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 45 out of the 77 games, or 58.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 4-2 when favored by -251 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 71.5%.
  • The Nationals have been victorious in 44, or 41.5%, of the 106 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Washington has won five of 14 games when listed as at least +208 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 32.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 5-3 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Phillies have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6
HR 18
ERA 3.62
K/9 6.8

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Phillies Player Insights

  • The Phillies best hitter so far this season is Bryson Stott, who's hitting at a team-leading .302 clip along with 10 homers and 44 RBI.
  • Stott is 161st in homers and 115th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Stott carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Bohm's 73 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Bohm ranks 122nd in homers and 13th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Bohm heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 30 home runs.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .277 with 26 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in 10 straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .302 with five home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 6-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
  • The Nationals have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 11
ERA 4.50
K/9 8.5

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas leads the Nationals in home runs (20), runs batted in (67) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .284.
  • Thomas is 33rd in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Meneses has 25 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .279.
  • Meneses ranks 135th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 40th in RBI.
  • C.J. Abrams is hitting .258 with 21 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks.
  • Keibert Ruiz is hitting .247 with 16 doubles, 12 home runs and 25 walks.

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