Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Keibert Ruiz and the Washington Nationals head into a matchup with Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday at 6:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -231, while the underdog Nationals have +190 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run total is set for this matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies.
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Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 6:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -231 +190 9 -111 -109 -1.5 -109 -111

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 57%, Nationals 43%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 60 out of the 98 games, or 61.2%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia has entered 16 games this season favored by -231 or more and is 12-4 in those contests.
  • The Phillies have a 69.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have been victorious in 44, or 43.1%, of the 102 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Washington has been victorious two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +190 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 34.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
WSH 1 · PHI 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Washington Nationals
WSH
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 3-3 across the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 11
ERA 4.86
K/9 8.8

Phillies Player Insights

  • Alec Bohm is the Phillies best hitter, putting together an average of .296 while also being the team's top run producer, delivering 84 RBI and hitting 13 round-trippers.
  • Bohm's home runs put him 111th in the majors, and he ranks ninth in RBI.
  • Bohm has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • Harper is batting .281 with 27 doubles, 26 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Harper is 11th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Kyle Schwarber has launched a team-high 28 home runs.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .247 with 25 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Castellanos takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+115)
Bryce Harper 1.5 () 1.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+100)
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+140)
Nicholas Castellanos 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+125)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-5.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 9
ERA 4.20
K/9 7.4

Nationals Player Insights

  • C.J. Abrams has managed a team-high 17 home runs and has driven in 59 runs.
  • Abrams is 65th in home runs and 56th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Luis Garcia has a club-best 59 RBI and .292 batting average.
  • Garcia ranks 98th overall in homers and 56th in RBI this season.
  • Jacob Young has 18 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 23 walks while batting .254.
  • Ruiz is batting .227 with 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 11 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+215)
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+175)
Juan Yepez 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+150)
James Wood 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+180)
Alex Call 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+175)

Nationals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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