Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 19

Updated Aug. 19, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jake Irvin takes the mound for the Washington Nationals on Saturday at Nationals Park against Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET. The Phillies are listed as -154 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Nationals (+131). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +103 odds). A 9.5-run total has been set in the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies will hand the ball to Cristopher Sanchez (1-3, 3.39 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with Irvin (3-5, 4.86 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-154	+131	9.5	-105	-115	-1.5	+103	-123

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Nationals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 50%, Nationals 50%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have won 47 out of the 82 games, or 57.3%, in which they've been favored.
Philadelphia has entered 36 games this season favored by -154 or more and is 21-15 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 111 games this year and have walked away with the win 47 times (42.3%) in those games.
This year, Washington has won 37 of 82 games when listed as at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 43.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and finished 4-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Phillies are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	19
ERA	3.78
K/9	8.5

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Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott's .295 average leads the Phillies this year. His resume also includes 11 homers and driven in 47 RBI.
Stott ranks 146th in home runs and 117th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Kyle Schwarber's 32 home runs and 77 runs batted in are both team-highs.
Schwarber ranks fourth in homers and 19th in RBI in the bigs.
Alec Bohm has 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .282.
Bohm has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .136 with an RBI.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .276 with 29 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 26 walks.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+135)
Trea Turner	-	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+155)
Bryson Stott	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+155)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-141)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+115)
Jake Cave	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 4-3 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Nationals have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	12
ERA	4.91
K/9	9

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas paces the Nationals with 20 home runs and 69 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .285.
In all of the majors, Thomas is 40th in homers and 33rd in RBI.
Joey Meneses is hitting .280 with 29 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
Among all major league hitters, Meneses is 146th in home runs and 34th in RBI.
Keibert Ruiz is hitting .260 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 28 walks.
C.J. Abrams has 22 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 20 walks while hitting .252.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lane Thomas	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
Stone Garrett	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+140)
Ildemaro Vargas	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+195)
Joey Meneses	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)
Keibert Ruiz	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+180)

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