Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 20

Updated Aug. 20, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Zack Wheeler starts for the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday at Muncy Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field against Keibert Ruiz and the Washington Nationals. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET in this final game of a three-game series. The Nationals have been listed as +189 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Phillies (-230). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 9 runs.

The starting pitchers are Wheeler (9-5) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Trevor Williams (5-7) for the Washington Nationals.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Muncy Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-230	+189	9	-107	-113	-1.5	-143	+121

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Nationals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Nationals 49%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 83 times this season and won 48, or 57.8%, of those games.
Philadelphia has a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -230 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The Phillies have a 69.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Nationals have come away with 47 wins in the 112 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Washington has a win-loss record of 10-15 when favored by +189 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 34.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies went 4-4 across the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
The Phillies are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	6
HR	20
ERA	3.58
K/9	8.5

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Phillies Player Insights

The Phillies best hitter so far this season is Bryson Stott, who's hitting at a team-leading .296 rate along with 12 homers and 50 RBI.
In all of MLB, Stott is 132nd in home runs and 102nd in RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has hit 32 home runs with 78 RBI. Both pace his team.
Schwarber is sixth in home runs in baseball, and 19th in RBI.
Schwarber carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .176 with two home runs, five walks and five RBI.
Alec Bohm is hitting .283 with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 31 walks.
Bohm will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .208 with two RBI.
Nicholas Castellanos' 78 runs batted in pace his team.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alec Bohm	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+130)
J.T. Realmuto	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+290)	0.5 (+115)
Nicholas Castellanos	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+100)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+120)	1.5 (-154)	0.5 (+290)	0.5 (+100)
Jake Cave	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+120)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-4.
The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	9
ERA	5.73
K/9	8.8

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas leads the Nationals in home runs (20), runs batted in (69) and has posted a team-high batting average of .287.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Thomas' home run total is 41st and his RBI tally ranks 34th.
Joey Meneses has been productive as he leads his team with 69 runs batted in.
Meneses is 150th overall in homers and 34th in RBI this season.
Ruiz has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 28 walks while batting .260.
C.J. Abrams is hitting .250 with 22 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 20 walks.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Dominic Smith	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)
Joey Meneses	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
C.J. Abrams	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+215)
Keibert Ruiz	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+170)
Lane Thomas	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+225)

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