Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2023 6:06 p.m. ET

Alec Bohm and Lane Thomas will be among the star attractions when the Philadelphia Phillies face the Washington Nationals on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -185 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +156. Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 9 runs for this contest (with -100 odds to hit the over and -120 odds to go under).

The Philadelphia Phillies will hand the ball to Michael Lorenzen (6-7, 3.48 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with MacKenzie Gore (6-8, 4.34 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -185 +156 9 -100 -120 -1.5 +109 -130

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Nationals 44%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 44 out of the 76 games, or 57.9%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 13 of its 21 games, or 61.9%, when favored by at least -185 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 64.9% chance to win.
  • The Nationals have come away with 44 wins in the 105 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Washington has won 22 of 46 games when listed as at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 39.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and finished 4-4 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Phillies have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 16
ERA 4.01
K/9 7

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Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryson Stott has racked up a team-best batting average of .302.
  • Stott's home runs put him 159th in MLB, and he ranks 114th in RBI.
  • Stott takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Bohm has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 72 RBI.
  • Bohm ranks 121st in home runs and 14th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Bohm carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-high 30 home runs and 72 runs batted in.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has 26 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .275.
  • Castellanos is riding a nine-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+155)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+145)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+145)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 11
ERA 4.35
K/9 8.3

Nationals Player Insights

  • Thomas leads the Nationals with 20 home runs and 67 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .287.
  • Thomas is 32nd in home runs and 28th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Joey Meneses is hitting .280 with 25 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Meneses is 133rd in homers and 40th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • C.J. Abrams has 21 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks while hitting .261.
  • Keibert Ruiz has 16 doubles, 12 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .248.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Joey Meneses 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Dominic Smith 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
C.J. Abrams 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+200)

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