Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 11:01 p.m. ET

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Luis Garcia and the Washington Nationals will look to knock off Nicholas Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at 6:45 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -186, while the underdog Nationals have +155 odds to upset. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals on September 26th, 2024.

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Nationals 47%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 126 games this season and won 79 (62.7%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 32-12 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -186 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 65% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 130 games this year and have walked away with the win 53 times (40.8%) in those games.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 16-21 when favored by +155 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 39.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Fri 10:45 PM

NBCSP

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-186

O 8.5

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+155

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in OBP, slugging, and hits, getting on base at a rate of .373 while slugging .528 and racking up 156 base knocks.
• Harper's home runs put him 20th in the majors, and he is 28th in RBI.
• Harper takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber's 38 home runs and 102 runs batted in both lead his team.
• Schwarber ranks sixth in homers and 11th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Schwarber enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .284 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Castellanos is batting .253 with 30 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
• Castellanos is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .405 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Garcia leads the Nationals with 17 home runs and 68 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .278.
• In all of the majors, Garcia is 108th in homers and 77th in RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .224 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
• Ruiz is currently 151st in homers and 146th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jacob Young is batting .253 with 24 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
• James Wood has 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while hitting .267.

Nationals Team Props

Royals vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals on September 26th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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