Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET

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Ranger Suarez and Trevor Williams will start for their respective teams when the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals square off on Friday at Nationals Park, at 6:45 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -186 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Nationals +154 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -111 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Nationals 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Nationals 47%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 126 games this season and won 79 (62.7%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 32-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -186 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 65% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 130 games this year and have walked away with the win 53 times (40.8%) in those games.
• Washington has a mark of 16-22 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +154 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

PHI 1 · WSH 9

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-187

O 8

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+155

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Phillies are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper is stellar at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .373 OBP, .528 slugging percentage, and 156 base hits.
• Harper's home runs place him 20th in the majors, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
• Harper carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 38 home runs with 102 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Schwarber is sixth in homers and 11th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Schwarber enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a double, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .284.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .253 with 30 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
• Castellanos takes a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 games he is batting .405 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Luis Garcia paces the Nationals in home runs (17), runs batted in (68) and has a team-best batting average of .278.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Garcia is 108th in home runs and 77th in RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks while hitting .224.
• Ruiz ranks 152nd in homers and 147th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Jacob Young is hitting .253 with 24 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
• James Wood is hitting .267 with 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals - 09/27/2024

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