Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 4:01 p.m. ET

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James Wood and the Washington Nationals will try to defeat Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies when the teams square off on Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -207 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +172 moneyline odds. Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Natoinals.

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Nationals 48%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 79 out of the 127 games, or 62.2%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has entered 27 games this season favored by -207 or more and is 20-7 in those contests.
• The Phillies have a 67.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have come away with 54 wins in the 131 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Washington has a mark of 8-11 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +172 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 36.8% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PHI 3 · WSH 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-207

O 8

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+171

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Harper is great at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .374 OBP, .527 slugging percentage, and 156 base hits.
• In all of MLB, Harper ranks 20th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 38 home runs with 102 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Schwarber ranks sixth in homers and 12th in RBI in the majors.
• Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .282.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .254 with 30 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
• Castellanos takes an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .429 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Nationals had a record of 2-8.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Luis Garcia paces the Nationals in home runs (17), runs batted in (68) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .281.
• Garcia is 108th in homers and 80th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .226 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
• Ruiz is 153rd in home runs and 128th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Jacob Young is batting .258 with 24 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
• Wood is batting .266 with 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Natoinals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals - 09/28/2024

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