Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 12:01 a.m. ET

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Keibert Ruiz and the Washington Nationals will take the field on Saturday at Nationals Park against Zack Wheeler, who is expected to start for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. The favored Phillies have -216 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +179. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -125 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Natoinals.

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Nationals 48%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 79, or 62.2%, of the 127 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia is 19-5 this season when entering a game favored by -216 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 68.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 131 games this year and have walked away with the win 54 times (41.2%) in those games.
• This year, Washington has won eight of 18 games when listed as at least +179 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 35.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Sat 8:05 PM

MLBN

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-218

O 7.5

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+180

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Phillies have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper is stellar at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .374 OBP, .527 slugging percentage, and 156 hits.
• Including all MLB hitters, Harper is 17th in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
• Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he leads his team with 38 home runs and 102 runs batted in.
• Schwarber is sixth in homers and 12th in RBI in the bigs.
• Alec Bohm is batting .282 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 30 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
• Castellanos is riding an eight-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .429 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 2-8 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Nationals are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Luis Garcia paces the Nationals in home runs (17), runs batted in (68) and has put up a team-best batting average of .281.
• Garcia's home run total places him 108th in MLB, and he is 80th in RBI.
• Ruiz has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks while batting .226.
• Ruiz is currently 153rd in homers and 127th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jacob Young is hitting .258 with 24 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
• James Wood has 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while batting .266.

Nationals Team Props

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Natoinals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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