Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 11:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Luis Garcia and the Washington Nationals take the field on Sunday at Nationals Park against Aaron Nola, who is starting for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is set for 3:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals are +154 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Phillies (-184). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Natoinals.

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-184	+154	7.5	-122	+100	-1.5	-110	-110

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Nationals 48%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 128 times this season and won 79, or 61.7%, of those games.
Philadelphia is 34-15 this season when entering a game favored by -184 or more on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 64.8% chance to win.
The Nationals have been victorious in 55, or 41.7%, of the 132 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Washington has won 17 of 39 games when listed as at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 39.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

Washington Nationals

WSH

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 3-4 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total seven times.
The Phillies are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	15
ERA	5.67
K/9	9.7

Phillies Player Insights

Bryce Harper is great at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .373 OBP, .525 slugging percentage, and 157 base hits.
In all of MLB, Harper is 20th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he paces his team with 38 home runs and 102 runs batted in.
Schwarber ranks seventh in homers and 12th in RBI in the bigs.
Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .280.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
Castellanos brings a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .417 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Nationals had a record of 3-7.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	7
ERA	4.14
K/9	8.5

Nationals Player Insights

Garcia leads the Nationals in home runs (17), runs batted in (68) and has put up a team-best batting average of .281.
Garcia's home run total places him 108th in the big leagues, and he ranks 80th in RBI.
Garcia has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a home run and three RBI.
Keibert Ruiz is batting .229 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
Ruiz is currently 153rd in home runs and 123rd in RBI in the big leagues.
Jacob Young has 24 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 29 walks while hitting .256.
James Wood is batting .269 with 13 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.