Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

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Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies will take on Luis Garcia and the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in the final of a three-game series, Sunday at 3:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -141, while the underdog Nationals have +121 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for this game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals.

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Nationals 48%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 79, or 61.7%, of the 128 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Philadelphia has won 59 of its 89 games, or 66.3%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 58.5% chance to win.
• The Nationals have come away with 55 wins in the 132 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 33 times in 92 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 6 · WSH 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-141

O 7.5

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+121

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 3-4 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in OBP, slugging, and hits, getting on base at a rate of .373 while slugging .525 and racking up 157 hits.
• Harper's home runs place him 20th in the majors, and he is 29th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 38 home runs with 102 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .280.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .254.
• Castellanos takes a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is batting .417 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-7.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Garcia leads the lineup with a batting average of .281, and leads the Nationals in home runs, with 17 and runs batted in with 68.
• Garcia's home run total puts him 108th in MLB, and he ranks 80th in RBI.
• Garcia carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a home run and three RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz is batting .229 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.
• Ruiz is currently 153rd in homers and 125th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jacob Young is batting .256 with 24 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 29 walks.
• James Wood is hitting .269 with 13 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Phillies vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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