Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 24

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 24

Updated Jul. 24, 2023 6:01 p.m. ET

Cristopher Sanchez starts for the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at Citizens Bank Park against Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The favored Phillies have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at +100. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's over/under is set at 9.5 runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies will give the start to Sanchez (0-3, 3.06 ERA), who is looking for win No. 1 on the season, and the Orioles will counter with Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.80 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Monday, July 24, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -120 +100 9.5 -109 -111 -1.5 +159 -190

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Orioles 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Orioles 48%

Phillies vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 37 out of the 63 games, or 58.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 31 of its 50 games, or 62%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have come away with 27 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 25-16 when favored by +100 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Phillies have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 4.01
K/9 7.3

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Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryson Stott is the Phillies best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .304 rate along with nine homers and 36 RBI.
  • Stott's home runs rank him 150th in the majors, and he ranks 135th in RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he leads his team with 26 home runs and 61 runs batted in.
  • Schwarber ranks fifth in homers and 23rd in RBI on the season.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .282 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Alec Bohm has been productive as he paces his team with 61 runs batted in.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+165)
Brandon Marsh 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+125)
Josh Harrison 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+200)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-2.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 9
ERA 4.50
K/9 8.6

Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .269 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 60 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .372.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Rutschman's home run total is 82nd and his RBI tally ranks 92nd.
  • Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 17 home runs and 55 RBI.
  • Santander is 32nd overall in home runs and 39th in RBI this year.
  • Adam Frazier has 13 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .238.
  • Henderson is hitting .247 with 12 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 42 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Austin Hays 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Ramón Urías 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+200)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+145)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)

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