Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 24

Updated Jul. 24, 2023 6:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Cristopher Sanchez starts for the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at Citizens Bank Park against Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The favored Phillies have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at +100. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's over/under is set at 9.5 runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies will give the start to Sanchez (0-3, 3.06 ERA), who is looking for win No. 1 on the season, and the Orioles will counter with Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.80 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 24, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-120	+100	9.5	-109	-111	-1.5	+159	-190

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Orioles 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Orioles 48%

Phillies vs. Orioles Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have won 37 out of the 63 games, or 58.7%, in which they've been favored.
This season Philadelphia has won 31 of its 50 games, or 62%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
The Phillies have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Orioles have come away with 27 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Baltimore has a win-loss record of 25-16 when favored by +100 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
The Phillies have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	10
ERA	4.01
K/9	7.3

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Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott is the Phillies best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .304 rate along with nine homers and 36 RBI.
Stott's home runs rank him 150th in the majors, and he ranks 135th in RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he leads his team with 26 home runs and 61 runs batted in.
Schwarber ranks fifth in homers and 23rd in RBI on the season.
Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .282 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
Alec Bohm has been productive as he paces his team with 61 runs batted in.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alec Bohm	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+165)
Brandon Marsh	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+125)
Josh Harrison	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+200)
Trea Turner	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-2.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	9
ERA	4.50
K/9	8.6

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is hitting .269 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 60 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .372.
Among all batters in the majors, Rutschman's home run total is 82nd and his RBI tally ranks 92nd.
Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 17 home runs and 55 RBI.
Santander is 32nd overall in home runs and 39th in RBI this year.
Adam Frazier has 13 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .238.
Henderson is hitting .247 with 12 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 42 walks.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)
Austin Hays	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Ramón Urías	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+145)
Ryan Mountcastle	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+165)

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