Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies hit the field on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park against Kyle Gibson, who is starting for the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -129, while the underdog Orioles have +110 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9.5 runs for the contest (with -108 odds on the over and -112 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Philadelphia Phillies looking to Taijuan Walker (11-4), and Gibson (9-6) getting the nod for the Baltimore Orioles.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-129	+110	9.5	-108	-112	-1.5	+144	-172

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Orioles 48%

Phillies vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 37, or 57.8%, of those games.
Philadelphia has a record of 29-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
The Orioles have been underdogs in 51 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (54.9%) in those contests.
Baltimore has a win-loss record of 18-15 when favored by +110 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 4-5 record over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
The Phillies' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	9
ERA	3.52
K/9	7.7

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Phillies Player Insights

The Phillies best hitter so far this season is Bryson Stott, who's hitting at a team-leading .301 clip along with nine homers and 36 RBI.
Stott ranks 152nd in homers and 139th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Schwarber has hit 26 home runs with 62 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
Of all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks fifth in home runs and 20th in RBI.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .283 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
Castellanos will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .150 with a walk and two RBI.
Alec Bohm is hitting .279 with 16 doubles, nine home runs and 23 walks.
Bohm brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two RBI.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+135)
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+165)
Kyle Schwarber	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+275)	0.5 (+155)
Bryson Stott	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+190)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Orioles have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	8
ERA	4.50
K/9	7.8

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman has 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 60 walks while hitting .269.
In all of the majors, Rutschman ranks 83rd in homers and 92nd in RBI.
Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 17 home runs and 55 RBI.
Santander is currently 32nd in home runs and 39th in RBI in the big leagues.
Adam Frazier has 13 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while batting .237.
Gunnar Henderson has 12 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .244.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Austin Hays	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+200)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+150)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+130)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+200)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+195)

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