Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles and Gunnar Henderson square off against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday, in the final game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -112 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at -107. Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been set at 9.5 runs.

The Phillies will start Ranger Suarez (2-5) versus the Orioles and Kyle Bradish (6-5).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-112	-107	9.5	-107	-113	-1.5	-181	+152

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Orioles 48%

Phillies vs. Orioles Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have been favored 65 times and won 38, or 58.5%, of those games.
This season Philadelphia has won 37 of its 62 games, or 59.7%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
The Orioles have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (53.8%) in those contests.
This season, Baltimore has been victorious 28 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
The Phillies' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	9
ERA	3.42
K/9	7.7

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Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott has put up a team-high batting average of .300.
Of all hitters in baseball, Stott ranks 155th in home runs and 134th in RBI.
Schwarber's 26 home runs and 62 RBI are both team-highs.
Schwarber is sixth in home runs and 20th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .280 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
Alec Bohm has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 62 RBI.
Bohm is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Trea Turner	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+140)
Bryson Stott	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+175)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)
Alec Bohm	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 5-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Orioles have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	8
ERA	4.44
K/9	8.5

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is hitting .268 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 60 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .370.
Among all hitters in the majors, Rutschman's home run total is 83rd and his RBI tally is 93rd.
Anthony Santander has hit 17 home runs with 55 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
Santander is 33rd among all batters in the majors in homers, and 45th in RBI.
Adam Frazier has 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while batting .241.
Henderson is hitting .241 with 12 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 43 walks.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+195)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)
James McCann	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Ryan Mountcastle	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+145)

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