Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 15

Updated Jul. 15, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres take the field on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park against Ranger Suarez, who is starting for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch will be at 1:05 PM ET for the second game of a four-game series. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -134, while the underdog Padres have +114 odds to upset. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +136 odds). The total for the matchup has been set at 10 runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies will hand the ball to Suarez (2-4, 3.77 ERA), who is looking for win No. 3 on the season, and the Padres will counter with Blake Snell (6-7, 2.94 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 1:05 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-134	+114	10	-111	-108	-1.5	+136	-161

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities:

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 33, or 60%, of those games.
This season Philadelphia has won 22 of its 34 games, or 64.7%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
The Phillies have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Padres have won in nine, or 37.5%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
San Diego has a win-loss record of 3-8 when favored by +114 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 46.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 2-2 record from the four games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	14
ERA	3.70
K/9	8.8

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Phillies Player Insights

Nicholas Castellanos is batting .300 with 26 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
In all of Major League Baseball, Castellanos is 60th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
Alec Bohm has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 58 runs batted in.
Bohm is 130th in homers and 15th in RBI on the season.
Bryson Stott leads the Phillies with a team-best batting average of .301.
Stott will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double and an RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he leads his team with 22 home runs.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)
Trea Turner	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+205)
Alec Bohm	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+170)
Bryson Stott	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+230)
Bryce Harper	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 6-2-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Padres have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.5
HR	18
ERA	3.36
K/9	10.1

Padres Player Insights

Soto is hitting .265 with 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 84 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .419.
In all of MLB, Soto is 30th in homers and 44th in RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit 17 home runs while hitting .287. Both high-water marks on his team.
Tatis is 23rd among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 54th in RBI.
Manny Machado has collected a team-best 50 runs batted in.
Xander Bogaerts is batting .255 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 39 walks.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Brandon Dixon	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+190)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+170)
Manny Machado	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+115)
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+175)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+145)

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