Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 17

Updated Jun. 17, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies will square off against Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park in the first of a three-game series, Monday at 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -192, while the underdog Padres have +160 odds to upset. Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 9.5 runs for this matchup (with -104 odds on the over and -116 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the New York Mets on Sunday, June 16.

Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, June 17, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Padres 44%

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 40, or 69%, of the 58 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 16-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -192 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 65.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Padres have been victorious in 12, or 44.4%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• San Diego has a win-loss record of 3-2 when favored by +160 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 38.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

SD 2 · PHI 9

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+161

O 9.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-193

U 9.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bohm has a team-best batting average of .302 and paces the Phillies in runs batted in (57).
• In all of the majors, Bohm is 129th in home runs and fourth in RBI.
• Bohm brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with three doubles, a walk and six RBI.
• Bryce Harper has hit 15 home runs to lead his team.
• Harper ranks 13th in home runs and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Harper has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber is batting .248 with six doubles, 14 home runs and 51 walks.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .234 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 32 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Padres have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar has driven in the most runs for the Padres with 46 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Profar ranks 51st in home runs and 14th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has shown off his power as he leads his team with 13 home runs.
• Tatis is 23rd in homers and 53rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .218 with nine doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
• Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .326.

Padres Team Props

Padres vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the New York Mets on Sunday, June 16.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 06/17/2024

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