Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 18

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 18

Updated Jun. 18, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies play Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -161 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Padres +136 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +124 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, June 18, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -161 +136 8.5 -120 +100 -1.5 +124 -147

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Padres 42%

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won 41, or 69.5%, of the 59 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 29-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -161 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 61.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (42.9%) in those games.
  • This year, San Diego has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 42.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
SD 3 · PHI 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Phillies are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 13
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.1

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bohm paces the Phillies in runs batted in (60) and has put up a team-high batting average of .307.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Bohm's home run total ranks him 106th, and his RBI tally puts him fourth.
  • Bohm brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and nine RBI.
  • Bryce Harper has 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .282.
  • Harper ranks 14th in home runs and 16th in RBI on the season.
  • Harper heads into this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with two doubles and two walks.
  • Kyle Schwarber has a team-best 16 home runs.
  • Schwarber will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .400 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is batting .234 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 32 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+155)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+195) 0.5 (+130)
Bryce Harper 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+250) 0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
  • The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 17
ERA 5.02
K/9 9.4

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar has driven in the most runs for the Padres with 46 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Profar ranks 51st in home runs and 16th in RBI.
  • Tatis' 13 home runs are a team-high total.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Tatis is 25th in home runs and 57th in RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .220 with nine doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 43 walks.
  • Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a team-leading batting average of .322.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+180)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+185)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+235)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+175)

Kyle Schwarber drills a two-run home run as the Phillies jump out to an early lead against the Padres

Kyle Schwarber drilled a two-run home run as the Philadelphia Phillies jump out to an early lead against the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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