Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 19

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 19

Updated Jun. 19, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to defeat Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday at 1:05 PM ET. The Padres are +154 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Phillies (-185). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +105 odds). The contest's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, June 18.
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Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, June 19, 2024 at 1:05 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -185 +154 8.5 -108 -112 -1.5 +105 -125

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 59%, Padres 41%

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won 42, or 70%, of the 60 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 19 of its 24 games, or 79.2%, when favored by at least -185 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 64.9% chance to win.
  • The Padres have won in 12, or 41.4%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 3-4 when favored by +154 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
SD 5 · PHI 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 13
ERA 4.60
K/9 9.1

Phillies Player Insights

  • Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 60 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .305.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Bohm is eighth in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging.
  • Bohm carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .522 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Bryce Harper is batting .282 with 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Harper ranks 14th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
  • Harper enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles and three walks.
  • Schwarber has racked up a team-high 17 home runs.
  • Schwarber will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, four home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is batting .239 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
  • Stott brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, three walks and an RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+195)
Brandon Marsh 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+175)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+160) 0.5 (+110)
Bryce Harper 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+220) 0.5 (+105)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Padres have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 15
ERA 5.19
K/9 9.5

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar paces the Padres with 47 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .320.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Profar is 51st in homers and 16th in RBI.
  • Profar has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two walks and two RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 13 home runs lead his team.
  • Tatis ranks 25th in homers and 58th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has nine doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 43 walks while batting .220.
  • Luis Arraez is hitting .318 with 14 doubles, a triple, a home run and 12 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+155)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+200)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+275)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+190)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+215)

Padres vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, June 18.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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