Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Trea Turner and Juan Soto will be among the star attractions when the Philadelphia Phillies play the San Diego Padres on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park. The favored Phillies have -120 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Padres, who are listed at +100. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Philadelphia Phillies looking to Michael Lorenzen (8-8), and Pedro Avila (0-2) taking the ball for the San Diego Padres.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -120 +100 8 -109 -111 -1.5 +136 -162

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Padres 46%

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 96 times this season and won 56, or 58.3%, of those games.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 48 of its 77 games, or 62.3%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 54.5% chance to win.
  • The Padres have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (30.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious six times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have a 6-3 record over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Phillies have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 7.1
HR 26
ERA 4.19
K/9 10.8

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Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 40 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in baseball, Schwarber's home run total places him fourth, and his RBI tally puts him 13th.
  • Turner is batting .262 with 30 doubles, five triples, 22 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Turner ranks 44th in homers and 62nd in RBI on the season.
  • Turner has 15 games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .395 with three doubles, a triple, seven home runs, a walk and 18 RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .282 with 27 doubles, 16 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Bohm is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Bryson Stott has 29 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .294.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+185)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+195)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Bryce Harper 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
  • The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 14
ERA 4.12
K/9 9.3

Padres Player Insights

  • Soto has managed a team-leading 28 home runs and has driven in 84 runs.
  • In all of the big leagues, Soto is 17th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has a club-leading .275 batting average.
  • Kim is currently 92nd in home runs and 103rd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .264 with 29 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Manny Machado is batting .251 with 19 doubles, 26 home runs and 46 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+135)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+185)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+165)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+235)
Garrett Cooper 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Phillies vs Padres!

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