Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 6

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 6

Updated Sep. 6, 2023 4:16 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Brandon Marsh and the Philadelphia Phillies will take on the San Diego Padres and Fernando Tatis Jr. on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET, at PETCO Park. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -117, while the underdog Padres have -102 odds to upset. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total is set at 7.5 runs.

The scheduled starters are Zack Wheeler (10-6) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Michael Wacha (11-2) for the San Diego Padres.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, September 6, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -117 -102 7.5 -113 -107 -1.5 +146 -174

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Padres 47%

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 96 games this season and won 56 (58.3%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 49-35 this season when entering a game favored by -117 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 53.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (30.3%) in those games.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Phillies have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.4
HR 24
ERA 4.76
K/9 9.9

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Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 40 times in the 2023 campaign while knocking in 89 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
  • Schwarber's home runs place him fourth in MLB, and he is 15th in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 27 doubles, 16 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Bohm ranks 107th in home runs in baseball, and 17th in RBI.
  • Bryson Stott has 29 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .292.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .271 with 34 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 29 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+155)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Padres are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 13
ERA 3.57
K/9 9.1

Padres Player Insights

  • Juan Soto leads the Padres with 28 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 84.
  • Soto's home run total places him 18th in the big leagues, and he is 24th in RBI.
  • Tatis is hitting .265 with 29 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Tatis is currently 38th in home runs and 46th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has put up a team-best batting average of .273.
  • Manny Machado has 19 doubles, 26 home runs and 47 walks while batting .252.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Juan Soto 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+205)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+320)
Gary Sánchez 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+270)
Garrett Cooper 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+245)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Phillies vs Padres!

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