Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 11

Updated Apr. 11, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET

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Jared Jones will aim to shut down Kyle Schwarber and company when the Pittsburgh Pirates take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday at 6:40 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -133, while the underdog Pirates have +114 odds to win. Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's over/under is listed at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, April 11, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Phillies 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Pirates 45%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in eight games this season and won four (50%) of those contests.
• This season Philadelphia has won four of its eight games when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 57.1% chance to win.
• The Pirates have won in six of the seven contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has been a +114 moneyline underdog on three occasions this season and won every game.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

PIT 1 · PHI 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

-400

O 9

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

+300

U 9

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in home runs (three) and runs batted in (seven).
• In all of Major League Baseball, Harper is 14th in home runs and 61st in RBI.
• Brandon Marsh's three home runs, seven runs batted in and .333 batting average are all team-highs.
• Marsh ranks 14th in home runs and 61st in RBI in the bigs.
• Marsh has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Schwarber has two home runs and six walks while hitting .208.
• Alec Bohm's seven runs batted in are a team-high mark.
• Bohm has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, a triple, four walks and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Player Insights

• Connor Joe paces the Pirates with a team-high batting average of .324.
• Joe's home run total puts him 114th in the big leagues, and he ranks 32nd in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 10 runs batted in.
• Reynolds ranks 43rd overall in home runs and 21st in RBI this season.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has three doubles and seven walks while batting .313.
• Edward Olivares has swatted a team-high three home runs.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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