Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 12

Updated Apr. 12, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET

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Connor Joe and the Pittsburgh Pirates match up with Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at 6:40 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -135 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates +126 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +113 odds). A 9-run over/under has been set in this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, April 12, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Pirates 49%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites nine times this season and won five of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered eight games this season favored by -135 or more and is 4-4 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 57.4% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been victorious in six of the eight contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +126.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 44.2% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PIT 5 · PHI 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

-200

O 9

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

+150

U 9

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 5-4 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-5-0 over their past 10 games (oddsmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Brandon Marsh paces the Phillies with four home runs and nine runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .333.
• Marsh's home runs place him sixth in MLB, and he is 33rd in RBI.
• Marsh carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .267 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks.
• Bohm ranks 115th in homers and 45th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Bohm has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Harper is hitting .196 with two doubles, three home runs and six walks.
• Bryson Stott is batting .220 with a double, a home run and six walks.
• Stott is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .188 with a home run and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 4-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Pirates are 5-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Joe leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .300.
• Joe's home run total puts him 115th in the big leagues, and he ranks 33rd in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 10 runs batted in.
• Reynolds is 45th in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Edward Olivares leads the Pirates with three long balls.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates with a .300 batting average.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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