Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 13

Updated Apr. 13, 2024 4:02 p.m. ET

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Edward Olivares and the Pittsburgh Pirates will try to beat Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies when the teams square off on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. The favored Phillies have -141 moneyline odds against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +121. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +135 odds). The matchup's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Pittsburgh Pirates' 5-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 50%, Pirates 50%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 10 times and won five of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 3-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -141 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Pirates have won in seven of the nine contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has not lost in three games this year when given odds of +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

PIT 3 · PHI 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

-200

O 8.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

+160

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total one time.
• The Phillies have put together a 4-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games (bookmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Harper is batting .220 with three doubles, three home runs and six walks.
• Harper is 20th in homers and 77th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Brandon Marsh has hit four home runs with nine runs batted in while hitting .326. Those stats all lead his team.
• Marsh is eighth in home runs and 42nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Marsh has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Alec Bohm has put up a team-best nine runs batted in.
• Bryson Stott has a double, a home run and six walks while hitting .222.
• Stott is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a home run and four RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 5-4-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Connor Joe is hitting .318 with five doubles, a home run and seven walks.
• Joe is 118th in homers and 30th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Bryan Reynolds has totaled 11 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Among all major league batters, Reynolds is 56th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
• Olivares has three home runs, best in the lineup.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .273 with three doubles and nine walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Pittsburgh Pirates' 5-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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