Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Aaron Nola and Martin Perez are the projected starters when the Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off on Friday at PNC Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies have been listed as -178 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+148). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this game (with +100 odds on the over and -122 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -178 +148 8.5 +100 -122 -1.5 -105 -115

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Pirates 49%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 53 (67.1%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 25-11, a 69.4% win rate, when favored by -178 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Phillies have a 64% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have won in 26, or 47.3%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +148 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.3% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
PHI 7 · PIT 8
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 15
ERA 6.31
K/9 10.2

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with 21 home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .301.
  • In all of the majors, Harper is 11th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm's 70 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Bohm is 89th in home runs and fourth in RBI on the season.
  • Bohm heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three doubles and three walks.
  • Kyle Schwarber is hitting .249 with nine doubles, 19 home runs and 65 walks.
  • Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 40 walks while hitting .238.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+185)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+105)
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+160)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)
Weston Wilson 0.5 (-195) 1.5 () 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Pirates have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 17
ERA 3.03
K/9 9

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .284, while pacing the Pirates in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 61.
  • In all of MLB, Reynolds is 20th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
  • Connor Joe is batting .242 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 29 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Joe is 172nd in home runs and 186th in RBI.
  • Oneil Cruz is batting .246 with 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Andrew McCutchen has 11 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .226.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nick Gonzales 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+195)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+170)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+195)
Jack Suwinski 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+270)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-180) 0.5 () 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+220)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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