Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Aaron Nola and Martin Perez are the projected starters when the Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off on Friday at PNC Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies have been listed as -178 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+148). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this game (with +100 odds on the over and -122 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Pirates 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Pirates 49%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 53 (67.1%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 25-11, a 69.4% win rate, when favored by -178 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Phillies have a 64% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have won in 26, or 47.3%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +148 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.3% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PHI 7 · PIT 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-169

O 8

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+143

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with 21 home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .301.
• In all of the majors, Harper is 11th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm's 70 runs batted in lead his team.
• Bohm is 89th in home runs and fourth in RBI on the season.
• Bohm heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three doubles and three walks.
• Kyle Schwarber is hitting .249 with nine doubles, 19 home runs and 65 walks.
• Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 40 walks while hitting .238.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Pirates have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .284, while pacing the Pirates in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 61.
• In all of MLB, Reynolds is 20th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
• Connor Joe is batting .242 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Joe is 172nd in home runs and 186th in RBI.
• Oneil Cruz is batting .246 with 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
• Andrew McCutchen has 11 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .226.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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