Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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A couple of hot hitters, Bryce Harper and Bryan Reynolds, will try to keep it going when the Philadelphia Phillies face the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 6:40 PM ET, at PNC Park. The favored Phillies have -171 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +144. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -120 odds to go over and -101 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday, July 19.

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Pirates 49%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 53 out of the 80 games, or 66.2%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has entered 43 games this season favored by -171 or more and is 31-12 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Pirates have won in 27, or 48.2%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 5-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +144 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 1 · PIT 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-167

O 8.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+141

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Phillies have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Harper's .300 average and 21 homers both put him atop the Phillies leaderboard this season.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Harper is 11th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm's 70 runs batted in lead his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Bohm is 91st in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Bohm enters this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .308 with five doubles and five walks.
• Kyle Schwarber is hitting .249 with nine doubles, 19 home runs and 65 walks.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .238 with 12 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 40 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Pirates had a record of 3-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (18), runs batted in (61) and has posted a team-best batting average of .288.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total ranks 20th and his RBI tally is 19th.
• Reynolds takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
• Oneil Cruz is batting .252 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
• Cruz is 52nd in home runs and 51st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .231 with 11 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 43 walks.
• Connor Joe is hitting .244 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 29 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Phillies vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday, July 19.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 07/20/2024